Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. 25.7% of WRs in the 96th-100th percentile had at least one WR1 fantasy season. He set it with a score of 154.47. Production Premium compares the outcome of all pass attempts, carries, and targets to league-average outcomein those same game situations (yard line, down, and distance). Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. Advanced Stats Glossary of Terms - PlayerProfiler We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and This metric helps to identify wide receivers and tight ends with limited route trees that may have a low snap count and target share, but when they are on the field, are a focal point of the passing offense. That would give Harris a 96th-percentile Speed Score at the position, and maybe the best ever short shuttle in Combine history at any position if he did in fact run a 3.70 shuttle a truly unfathomable mark, let alone for a player his size. I really don't understand why everyone keeps putting Hollins as an off-ball LB. Who are some hyper-athletic sleepers we might have missed in our first series of articles? Yards Created originated by Graham Barfield on his Fantasy Game Theory blog, his "Introduction to Yards Created"piece defines yards created as all yards generated above and beyond what was blocked. In other words, for a particular game to count against his fantasy points per game, he must have had a passing attempt, carry, or target. Thats also a major red flag. Wex might be right. Since 2000, only two WRs have recorded a better time at the NFL Combine: Donte Stallworth and John Ross, both at 4.22. It is derived by aggregating each players 40-yard Dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score, and then factors in a relevant measure of player size to ensure that big players receive a premium for speed, quickness and explosiveness. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. (We already know hes a freak athlete, and hes a Round 1 lock based on expected draft capital.). Target Separation -A receiver's average yards of separation from his assigned defender at the moment the pass arrives. Tutu Atwell (ADP: WR16) posted a 38.3 SPORQ score, dropping from 69.6 after being heavily penalized due to an anomalously low weight (155 pounds) and low BMI (22.9). Less than 20% is a red flag. Athleticism Score summarizes a players workout metrics and normalizes for size. Opportunity Share percentage of total team running back carries + targets for a particular back. This service is intended for adult audiences. For running backs, it is the percentage of total offensive production, because running backs are involved in both the running and passing game. Even Daniel Thomas, LJarius Sneed, Antoine Brooks, and KVon Wallace finished as top 74th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athletes Xavier McKinney finishing in the 8th percentile will most likely prevent him from being a Day 1 prospect in my model, but its important to remember how little athleticism matters for safety. Wide receiver | Three Sigma Athlete Pitts 129.0 broad jump ranks 8th-best since 2000. Burn Rate -Percentage of targets allowed in which the defensive back's assigned receiver gained more than 5 yards of downfield separation. How to read this: Jeffrey Okudah is a 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Therefore, BMI indicates a running backs relative sturdiness. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy. Like I said, Moore was penalized due to his height, but whatever reduction I gave him (via SPORQ score) was always going to be wholly arbitrary. The results from these tests are combined and weighted using a formula specific to football. WebWide receiver. on the spreadsheet, to look up the combine numbers, etc. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). The time in between each beep (bar the constant 10second recovery) decreases gradually. 2023 NFL Combine Results - NFL.com His SPORQ score of 87.1 ranks 11th-best in the class. A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. How to read this: Mehki Becton is a 100th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Like with Freiermuth, Im not going to penalize him, but he did drop in my rankings due to projected draft capital. WebWelcome to Relative Athletic Scores! The values of all six data inputs are normalized to have equal weight. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency. If Tremble is going to find fantasy success at the next level, hes going to have to be an outlier in the same way Drew Sample and George Kittle were (in college both were A+ blockers without much usage in the passing game). Who moved up or down my board the most? Fantasy Points Per Game the average number of fantasy points that a player has scored in game where he had a point scoring opportunity. on the spreadsheets. Similar in concept to Agility Score, Burst Score sums a players Vertical Jump height and Broad Jump distance. Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. Mike Mitchell wins SPARQ rating national championship - ESPN Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Following this logic, Frank DuPont and Shawn Siegele first examined each wide receivers breakout age on RotoViz.com. Because if you add in the elite 40-time and the strong SPORQ score (85.8) in spite of the size concerns, he looks like an extremely high-level prospect. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. RAS is provided free of charge, both the program and most of the data. SPARQ Rating System - Topend Sports Looks explosive. Have you done your own testing and youre curious how you did? Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. Top 12 SPARQ-iest athletes in the 2016 NFL Draft, Cowboys Well built and very athletic. Although officially listed with a DNQ SPORQ score, I actually boosted Waddle in my rankings. The athlete goes into a balanced crouch with their arms behind them to help propel them, then they swiftly jump out into the air, out of their crouch, and the pad measures their height in inches based on the amount of time in the air, between the two points of contact. Best Ball Points Added - In the best ball format formats, players must reach a weekly points threshold to qualify for the starting lineup each week. For perspective, in their best collegiate seasons, Lamar Jackson averaged 24.2 rushing FPG, Taysom Hill averaged 19.8, Jalen Hurts averaged 18.7, Kyler Murray averaged 12.8, Josh Allen averaged 8.1, and Joe Burrow averaged 7.6. Finally, they must switch direction and run another 5yards to the starting point. also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Note 2: Much is made over the fact that Pro Day numbers are typically much better than the numbers that same player will post at the Combine. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might According to my Pre-Combine Model, Pitts is the best TE prospect to come out since at least 2014, and maybe the best TE prospect ever. For example, a 35+% dominator indicates that a wide receiver has the potential to be a teams No. SPARQ's business were focused on the rating system and selling advanced functional fitness training equipment. Although my Pre-Combine model liked Hawkins and Jefferson quite a bit, both fell in this phase of the process. His numbers are absolutely absurd, but hes also fairly light for a TE. Dyami Brown (ADP: WR11) posted a 49.5 SPORQ score. He was also an immediate starter and meaningful contributor for Auburn, totaling 117 YFS and two total touchdowns in his first game. Theres the Big 3, consisting of Harris, Etienne, and Williams. A comprehensive review of the rationale behind the VOS metric is available here: Introducing: Value Over Stream (VOS). All have good projected draft capital behind them, and, interestingly, even Atwell. They must proceed to thrust outward, landing in a push-up position. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned But I doubt hell have the value one might expect of an EMU kid falling. I think a year in an NFL weight room could turn him into a real player. Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. Jeudy's 105 SPARQ is, for example, 7% worse than Rountree dropped outside of my top-10 (RB13) and Patterson was pushed outside of my top-15 (RB17). 23 Most Interesting Things I Heard At Combine, how little athleticism matters for safety. Expected Touchdowns the total number of touchdowns the average NFL player would expect to score based on the field position and game situation of every pass attempt, touch, and target. Happy Draft Week 2023! True Catch Rate reception percentage based solely on catchable targets. You initially see him and go, man, that kids too skinny, hes kind of awkward, he doesnt look that fast, but then he shows elite hand usage, and BAM, hes around the tackle and sacking the QB or causing a fumble. Saddled with poor QB-play, Collins didnt do much in three seasons at Michigan, before sitting out in 2020, totaling just 78 catches, 1,388 yards, and 13 scores over this span. Base Front - seven defenders in the box. Weighted Opportunities surfaced by Scott Barrett in his work for Pro Football Focus, this metric calibrates total opportunities by discounting carries and enhancing the value of targets based on the average fantasy points generated by each type of touch. The Cincinnati Bengals have finally answered at least one part of the question at the running back position by taking Illinois Chase Brown in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL draft. But the main point is everyone calls him slight but no one has seen him play with the added weight. [1] In the past years over 44,000 athletes have been assessed and received SPARQ ratings.[4]. Individuals with high BMIs tend to be built more like a bowling ball, an ideal stature for an NFL running back. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. Players with poor scores by both production and athleticism almost never did anything meaningful for fantasy teams. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. 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